Elversberg 3–2 Bayer Leverkusen — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Elversberg faced Bayer Leverkusen in Bundesliga on 29 August 2026. The match ended **3–2**, with Elversberg taking the victory over Bayer Leverkusen. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **3 won** and **3 lost** (50% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 2.37 (confidence: 48%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip The 3–2 result covered this double chance selection. ✅ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.50 (confidence: 65%) — **WON** 5 total goals cleared the 2.5 line. ❌ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.50 (confidence: 67%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ✅ **Under 9.5 Corners** @ 1.87 (confidence: 51%) — **WON** The corner count went our way. ❌ **Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.38 (confidence: 71%) — **LOST** More second-half goals than our model predicted. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-1** @ 9.25 (confidence: 10%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) ⭐ | 2.37 | 48% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.50 | 65% | ✅ WON | | Under 4.5 Cards | 1.50 | 67% | ❌ LOST | | Under 9.5 Corners | 1.87 | 51% | ✅ WON | | Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.38 | 71% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 1-1 | 9.25 | 10% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 3 of 6 tips won** (50% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.35 | 5 | | Corners | 9.6 | — | | Yellow Cards | 3.8 | — | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 77% | — | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Head-to-Head History 29.10.24 Bayer Leverkusen 3-0 Elversberg | 30.07.22 Elversberg 4-3 Bayer Leverkusen ## Pre-Match Odds | Elversberg Win | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 4.90 | 4.40 | 1.62 | An upset result — the market had the winner as the underdog at 4.90. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*