Dortmund 2–2 Werder Bremen — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Dortmund faced Werder Bremen in Bundesliga on 9 October 2026. The match ended **2–2** in a draw. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **4 won** and **2 lost** (67% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Dortmund to Win** @ 1.38 (confidence: 67%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ✅ **Over 3.5 Goals** @ 1.98 (confidence: 54%) — **WON** 4 goals — clear of the 3.5 line. ✅ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.44 (confidence: 75%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 3 cards — clear of the 4.5 line. ✅ **Over 8.5 Corners** @ 1.59 (confidence: 64%) — **WON** 12 corners — clear of the 8.5 line. ✅ **Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.57 (confidence: 64%) — **WON** 4 second-half goals — clear of the 1.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 2-1** @ 8.70 (confidence: 8%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Dortmund to Win | 1.38 | 67% | ❌ LOST | | Over 3.5 Goals | 1.98 | 54% | ✅ WON | | Under 4.5 Cards ⭐ | 1.44 | 75% | ✅ WON | | Over 8.5 Corners | 1.59 | 64% | ✅ WON | | Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.57 | 64% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 2-1 | 8.70 | 8% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 4 of 6 tips won** (67% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.87 | 4 | | Corners | 10.0 | 12 | | Yellow Cards | 3.3 | 3 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 82% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 16.05.26 Werder Bremen 0-2 Dortmund | 13.01.26 Dortmund 3-0 Werder Bremen | 25.01.25 Dortmund 2-2 Werder Bremen | 31.08.24 Werder Bremen 0-0 Dortmund | 09.03.24 Werder Bremen 1-2 Dortmund ## Pre-Match Odds | Dortmund Win | Draw | Werder Bremen Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.38 | 5.75 | 7.30 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*