Dortmund 2–0 Hamburger SV — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Dortmund faced Hamburger SV in Bundesliga on 29 August 2026. The match ended **2–0**, with Dortmund taking the victory over Hamburger SV. We placed **5 tips** on this match — **3 won** and **2 lost** (60% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Dortmund to Win** @ 1.35 (confidence: 71%) — **WON** This prediction was correct. ❌ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.50 (confidence: 65%) — **LOST** Only 2 goals — not enough to cover over 2.5. ✅ **Under 5.5 Cards** @ 1.31 (confidence: 74%) — **WON** This prediction was correct. ❌ **Over 9.5 Corners** @ 1.70 (confidence: 55%) — **LOST** The corner market didn't hit. ✅ **Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.37 (confidence: 72%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip The second half stayed under 2.5 goals as we expected. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Dortmund to Win | 1.35 | 71% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.50 | 65% | ❌ LOST | | Under 5.5 Cards | 1.31 | 74% | ✅ WON | | Over 9.5 Corners | 1.70 | 55% | ❌ LOST | | Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half) ⭐ | 1.37 | 72% | ✅ WON | **Overall: 3 of 5 tips won** (60% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.34 | 2 | | Corners | 10.2 | 4 | | Yellow Cards | 4.2 | 4 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 77% | — | Fewer goals than our model predicted. The defences outperformed expectations. ## Head-to-Head History 21.03.26 Dortmund 3-2 Hamburger SV | 08.11.25 Hamburger SV 1-1 Dortmund | 10.02.18 Dortmund 2-0 Hamburger SV | 20.09.17 Hamburger SV 0-3 Dortmund | 04.04.17 Dortmund 3-0 Hamburger SV ## Pre-Match Odds | Dortmund Win | Draw | Hamburger SV Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.35 | 5.50 | 8.00 | A predictable result, with the winner heavily favoured at 1.35. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*