Czech Republic 1–2 Croatia — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Czech Republic faced Croatia in Nations League on 26 September 2026. The match ended **1–2**, with Croatia taking the victory over Czech Republic. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **2 won** and **4 lost** (33% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 1.72 (confidence: 59%) — **LOST** The result fell outside the double chance coverage. ✅ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.83 (confidence: 59%) — **WON** 3 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ❌ **Over 2.5 Cards** @ 1.32 (confidence: 74%) — **LOST** 0 cards — the 2.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Under 9.5 Corners** @ 1.82 (confidence: 56%) — **WON** 7 corners — clear of the 9.5 line. ❌ **Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.40 (confidence: 74%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip 0 first-half goals — the 0.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-1** @ 6.50 (confidence: 9%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 1.72 | 59% | ❌ LOST | | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.83 | 59% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Cards | 1.32 | 74% | ❌ LOST | | Under 9.5 Corners | 1.82 | 56% | ✅ WON | | Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half) ⭐ | 1.40 | 74% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 1-1 | 6.50 | 9% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 2 of 6 tips won** (33% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.04 | 3 | | Corners | 9.3 | 7 | | Yellow Cards | 4.2 | 3 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 74% | No | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 09.10.25 Czech Republic 0-0 Croatia | 09.06.25 Croatia 5-1 Czech Republic | 18.06.21 Croatia 1-1 Czech Republic | 17.06.16 Czech Republic 2-2 Croatia | 09.02.11 Croatia 4-2 Czech Republic ## Pre-Match Odds | Czech Republic Win | Draw | Croatia Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 3.35 | 3.45 | 2.18 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*