Crystal Palace 3–1 Nottingham — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Crystal Palace faced Nottingham in Premier League on 11 October 2026. The match ended **3–1**, with Crystal Palace taking the victory over Nottingham. We placed **5 tips** on this match — **1 won** and **4 lost** (20% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Double Chance (X2)** @ 1.47 (confidence: 66%) — **LOST** The result fell outside the double chance coverage. ❌ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.37 (confidence: 74%) — **LOST** 4 goals — the 3.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Over 2.5 Cards** @ 1.36 (confidence: 71%) — **WON** 4 cards — clear of the 2.5 line. ❌ **Under 11.5 Corners** @ 1.34 (confidence: 75%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip 13 corners — the 11.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-0** @ 9.60 (confidence: 15%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (X2) | 1.47 | 66% | ❌ LOST | | Under 3.5 Goals | 1.37 | 74% | ❌ LOST | | Over 2.5 Cards | 1.36 | 71% | ✅ WON | | Under 11.5 Corners ⭐ | 1.34 | 75% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 1-0 | 9.60 | 15% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 1 of 5 tips won** (20% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.56 | 4 | | Corners | 9.3 | 13 | | Yellow Cards | 4.0 | 4 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 68% | — | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Head-to-Head History 01.02.26 Nottingham 1-1 Crystal Palace | 24.08.25 Crystal Palace 1-1 Nottingham | 05.05.25 Crystal Palace 1-1 Nottingham | 21.10.24 Nottingham 1-0 Crystal Palace | 30.03.24 Nottingham 1-1 Crystal Palace ## Pre-Match Odds | Crystal Palace Win | Draw | Nottingham Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 5.15 | 8.75 | 25.00 | An upset result — the market had the winner as the underdog at 5.15. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*