Crystal Palace 1–4 Manchester City — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Crystal Palace faced Manchester City in Premier League on 28 August 2026. The match ended **1–4**, with Manchester City taking the victory over Crystal Palace. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **2 won** and **4 lost** (33% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 2.22 (confidence: 45%) — **LOST** The result fell outside the double chance coverage. ❌ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.50 (confidence: 66%) — **LOST** The match produced 5 goals, exceeding the 3.5 line. ✅ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.38 (confidence: 73%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip This prediction was correct. ❌ **Over 8.5 Corners** @ 1.50 (confidence: 63%) — **LOST** The corner market didn't hit. ✅ **Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.36 (confidence: 73%) — **WON** The first half delivered over 0.5 goals as predicted. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-1** @ 7.90 (confidence: 11%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 2.22 | 45% | ❌ LOST | | Under 3.5 Goals | 1.50 | 66% | ❌ LOST | | Under 4.5 Cards ⭐ | 1.38 | 73% | ✅ WON | | Over 8.5 Corners | 1.50 | 63% | ❌ LOST | | Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half) | 1.36 | 73% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 1-1 | 7.90 | 11% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 2 of 6 tips won** (33% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.93 | 5 | | Corners | 9.9 | 8 | | Yellow Cards | 3.4 | 3 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 72% | Yes (1) | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Head-to-Head History 13.05.26 Manchester City 3-0 Crystal Palace | 14.12.25 Crystal Palace 0-3 Manchester City | 17.05.25 Crystal Palace 1-0 Manchester City | 12.04.25 Manchester City 5-2 Crystal Palace | 07.12.24 Crystal Palace 2-2 Manchester City ## Pre-Match Odds | Crystal Palace Win | Draw | Manchester City Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 4.90 | 3.90 | 1.70 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*