Crystal Palace 4–0 Lech Poznan — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Crystal Palace faced Lech Poznan in Europa League on 17 September 2026. The match ended **4–0**, with Crystal Palace taking the victory over Lech Poznan. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **5 won** and **1 lost** (83% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Crystal Palace to Win** @ 1.39 (confidence: 69%) — **WON** This prediction was correct. ✅ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.55 (confidence: 68%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 4 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.52 (confidence: 65%) — **WON** 0 cards — clear of the 4.5 line. ✅ **Over 8.5 Corners** @ 1.59 (confidence: 61%) — **WON** 11 corners — clear of the 8.5 line. ✅ **Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.30 (confidence: 78%) — **WON** 3 first-half goals — clear of the 0.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-1** @ 9.60 (confidence: 7%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Crystal Palace to Win | 1.39 | 69% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.55 | 68% | ✅ WON | | Under 4.5 Cards | 1.52 | 65% | ✅ WON | | Over 8.5 Corners | 1.59 | 61% | ✅ WON | | Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half) | 1.30 | 78% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 1-1 | 9.60 | 7% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 5 of 6 tips won** (83% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.51 | 4 | | Corners | 9.7 | 11 | | Yellow Cards | 3.9 | 1 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 79% | Yes (3) | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Pre-Match Odds | Crystal Palace Win | Draw | Lech Poznan Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.39 | 5.25 | 7.60 | A predictable result, with the winner heavily favoured at 1.39. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*