Chicago Fire 1–3 Philadelphia Union — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Chicago Fire faced Philadelphia Union in MLS on 15 October 2026. The match ended **1–3**, with Philadelphia Union taking the victory over Chicago Fire. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **4 won** and **2 lost** (67% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 1.55 (confidence: 63%) — **LOST** The result fell outside the double chance coverage. ✅ **Over 3.5 Goals** @ 2.12 (confidence: 57%) — **WON** 4 goals — clear of the 3.5 line. ❌ **Under 5.5 Cards** @ 1.52 (confidence: 69%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip 7 cards — the 5.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Over 8.5 Corners** @ 1.58 (confidence: 61%) — **WON** 9 corners — clear of the 8.5 line. ✅ **Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.65 (confidence: 65%) — **WON** 3 second-half goals — clear of the 1.5 line. ✅ **Correct Score: 1-3** @ 17.00 (confidence: 7%) — **WON** This prediction was correct. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 1.55 | 63% | ❌ LOST | | Over 3.5 Goals | 2.12 | 57% | ✅ WON | | Under 5.5 Cards ⭐ | 1.52 | 69% | ❌ LOST | | Over 8.5 Corners | 1.58 | 61% | ✅ WON | | Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.65 | 65% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 1-3 | 17.00 | 7% | ✅ WON | **Overall: 4 of 6 tips won** (67% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 4.02 | 4 | | Corners | 9.7 | 9 | | Yellow Cards | 4.5 | 7 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 83% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 21.03.26 Philadelphia Union 1-2 Chicago Fire | 01.11.25 Chicago Fire 0-3 Philadelphia Union | 26.10.25Pen Philadelphia Union 2-2 Chicago Fire | 24.08.25 Philadelphia Union 4-0 Chicago Fire | 26.06.25 Chicago Fire 0-1 Philadelphia Union ## Pre-Match Odds | Chicago Fire Win | Draw | Philadelphia Union Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.57 | 3.90 | 2.62 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*