Chicago Fire 2–1 New York City — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Chicago Fire faced New York City in MLS on 10 October 2026. The match ended **2–1**, with Chicago Fire taking the victory over New York City. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **3 won** and **3 lost** (50% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Double Chance (X2)** @ 2.00 (confidence: 53%) — **LOST** The result fell outside the double chance coverage. ✅ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.60 (confidence: 67%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 3 goals — clear of the 3.5 line. ✅ **Over 2.5 Cards** @ 1.38 (confidence: 70%) — **WON** 5 cards — clear of the 2.5 line. ❌ **Over 8.5 Corners** @ 1.58 (confidence: 61%) — **LOST** 8 corners — the 8.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.34 (confidence: 78%) — **WON** 2 second-half goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-1** @ 7.30 (confidence: 13%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (X2) | 2.00 | 53% | ❌ LOST | | Under 3.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.60 | 67% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Cards | 1.38 | 70% | ✅ WON | | Over 8.5 Corners | 1.58 | 61% | ❌ LOST | | Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.34 | 78% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 1-1 | 7.30 | 13% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 3 of 6 tips won** (50% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.91 | 3 | | Corners | 9.7 | 8 | | Yellow Cards | 3.9 | 5 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 72% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 26.07.26 New York City 3-1 Chicago Fire | 14.09.25 Chicago Fire 1-3 New York City | 25.05.25 New York City 3-1 Chicago Fire | 25.08.24 New York City 2-2 Chicago Fire | 14.07.24 Chicago Fire 0-0 New York City ## Pre-Match Odds | Chicago Fire Win | Draw | New York City Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.00 | 3.90 | 4.05 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*