Celje 2–2 Salzburg — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Celje faced Salzburg in Europa League on 22 October 2026. The match ended **2–2** in a draw. We placed **7 tips** on this match — **2 won** and **5 lost** (29% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Salzburg to Win** @ 1.52 (confidence: 67%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ❌ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.62 (confidence: 68%) — **LOST** 4 goals — the 3.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals (No)** @ 1.80 (confidence: 63%) — **LOST** 4 goals — the 2.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.52 (confidence: 65%) — **WON** 4 cards — clear of the 4.5 line. ✅ **Under 11.5 Corners** @ 1.35 (confidence: 72%) — **WON** 5 corners — clear of the 11.5 line. ❌ **Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.36 (confidence: 78%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip 3 second-half goals — the 2.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Correct Score: 0-1** @ 8.80 (confidence: 21%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Salzburg to Win | 1.52 | 67% | ❌ LOST | | Under 3.5 Goals | 1.62 | 68% | ❌ LOST | | Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals (No) | 1.80 | 63% | ❌ LOST | | Under 4.5 Cards | 1.52 | 65% | ✅ WON | | Under 11.5 Corners | 1.35 | 72% | ✅ WON | | Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half) ⭐ | 1.36 | 78% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 0-1 | 8.80 | 21% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 2 of 7 tips won** (29% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.87 | 4 | | Corners | 9.6 | 5 | | Yellow Cards | 3.9 | 4 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 72% | — | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Pre-Match Odds | Celje Win | Draw | Salzburg Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 5.90 | 4.55 | 1.52 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*