Casa Pia 0–1 Moreirense — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Casa Pia faced Moreirense in Primeira Liga on 30 August 2026. The match ended **0–1**, with Moreirense taking the victory over Casa Pia. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **3 won** and **3 lost** (50% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (X2)** @ 1.60 (confidence: 64%) — **WON** The 0–1 result covered this double chance selection. ❌ **Over 1.5 Goals** @ 1.50 (confidence: 72%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip Only 1 goals — not enough to cover over 1.5. ✅ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.65 (confidence: 55%) — **WON** This prediction was correct. ✅ **Under 9.5 Corners** @ 1.62 (confidence: 59%) — **WON** The corner count went our way. ❌ **Over 0.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.35 (confidence: 76%) — **LOST** The second half fell short of the 0.5 goal line. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-1** @ 6.10 (confidence: 11%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (X2) | 1.60 | 64% | ✅ WON | | Over 1.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.50 | 72% | ❌ LOST | | Under 4.5 Cards | 1.65 | 55% | ✅ WON | | Under 9.5 Corners | 1.62 | 59% | ✅ WON | | Over 0.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.35 | 76% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 1-1 | 6.10 | 11% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 3 of 6 tips won** (50% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.52 | 1 | | Corners | 9.0 | — | | Yellow Cards | 4.5 | — | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 67% | — | Fewer goals than our model predicted. The defences outperformed expectations. ## Head-to-Head History 01.03.26 Casa Pia 1-1 Moreirense | 27.09.25 Moreirense 2-1 Casa Pia | 15.02.25 Moreirense 3-2 Casa Pia | 14.09.24 Casa Pia 3-1 Moreirense | 24.07.24 Casa Pia 1-1 Moreirense ## Pre-Match Odds | Casa Pia Win | Draw | Moreirense Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.42 | 3.00 | 3.25 | An upset result — the market had the winner as the underdog at 3.25. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*