Burnley 1–2 Bristol City — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Burnley faced Bristol City in Championship on 5 September 2026. The match ended **1–2**, with Bristol City taking the victory over Burnley. We placed **5 tips** on this match — **2 won** and **3 lost** (40% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 1.27 (confidence: 76%) — **LOST** The result fell outside the double chance coverage. ✅ **Over 1.5 Goals** @ 1.30 (confidence: 77%) — **WON** 3 total goals cleared the 1.5 line. ✅ **Over 9.5 Corners** @ 1.75 (confidence: 57%) — **WON** The corner count went our way. ❌ **Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.42 (confidence: 71%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip Not enough first-half goals to clear the 0.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-1** @ 7.30 (confidence: 10%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 1.27 | 76% | ❌ LOST | | Over 1.5 Goals | 1.30 | 77% | ✅ WON | | Over 9.5 Corners | 1.75 | 57% | ✅ WON | | Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half) ⭐ | 1.42 | 71% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 1-1 | 7.30 | 10% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 2 of 5 tips won** (40% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.82 | 3 | | Corners | 10.4 | 13 | | Yellow Cards | 3.7 | — | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 71% | No | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 29.03.25 Burnley 1-0 Bristol City | 23.11.24 Bristol City 0-1 Burnley | 29.04.23 Bristol City 1-2 Burnley | 17.09.22 Burnley 2-1 Bristol City | 28.01.17 Burnley 2-0 Bristol City ## Pre-Match Odds | Burnley Win | Draw | Bristol City Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.87 | 3.75 | 4.00 | An upset result — the market had the winner as the underdog at 4.00. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*