Bulgaria 0–0 Estonia — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Bulgaria faced Estonia in Nations League on 29 September 2026. The match ended **0–0** in a draw. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **1 won** and **5 lost** (17% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Bulgaria to Win** @ 1.78 (confidence: 58%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ❌ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 2.32 (confidence: 53%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip 0 goals — the 2.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Over 3.5 Cards** @ 1.44 (confidence: 68%) — **WON** 5 cards — clear of the 3.5 line. ❌ **Under 9.5 Corners** @ 1.68 (confidence: 62%) — **LOST** 12 corners — the 9.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Over 0.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.33 (confidence: 80%) — **LOST** 0 second-half goals — the 0.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Correct Score: 2-1** @ 8.50 (confidence: 9%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Bulgaria to Win | 1.78 | 58% | ❌ LOST | | Over 2.5 Goals ⭐ | 2.32 | 53% | ❌ LOST | | Over 3.5 Cards | 1.44 | 68% | ✅ WON | | Under 9.5 Corners | 1.68 | 62% | ❌ LOST | | Over 0.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.33 | 80% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 2-1 | 8.50 | 9% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 1 of 6 tips won** (17% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.79 | 0 | | Corners | 8.8 | 12 | | Yellow Cards | 4.9 | 5 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 71% | — | Fewer goals than our model predicted. The defences outperformed expectations. ## Head-to-Head History 09.02.11 Estonia 2-2 Bulgaria | 06.09.03 Bulgaria 2-0 Estonia | 02.04.03 Estonia 0-0 Bulgaria ## Pre-Match Odds | Bulgaria Win | Draw | Estonia Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.78 | 3.50 | 5.10 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*