Brest 1–2 Nice — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Brest faced Nice in Ligue 1 on 23 October 2026. The match ended **1–2**, with Nice taking the victory over Brest. We placed **7 tips** on this match — **3 won** and **4 lost** (43% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 1.38 (confidence: 70%) — **LOST** The result fell outside the double chance coverage. ✅ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.47 (confidence: 68%) — **WON** 3 goals — clear of the 3.5 line. ✅ **Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.40 (confidence: 65%) — **WON** 3 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ❌ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.44 (confidence: 73%) — **LOST** 8 cards — the 4.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Under 9.5 Corners** @ 1.90 (confidence: 55%) — **LOST** 10 corners — the 9.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.37 (confidence: 72%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 1 first-half goal — clear of the 0.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 2-0** @ 11.00 (confidence: 13%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 1.38 | 70% | ❌ LOST | | Under 3.5 Goals | 1.47 | 68% | ✅ WON | | Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals | 1.40 | 65% | ✅ WON | | Under 4.5 Cards | 1.44 | 73% | ❌ LOST | | Under 9.5 Corners | 1.90 | 55% | ❌ LOST | | Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half) ⭐ | 1.37 | 72% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 2-0 | 11.00 | 13% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 3 of 7 tips won** (43% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.87 | 3 | | Corners | 9.4 | 10 | | Yellow Cards | 3.4 | 8 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 72% | Yes (1) | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 01.02.26 Nice 2-2 Brest | 20.09.25 Brest 4-1 Nice | 17.05.25 Nice 6-0 Brest | 02.11.24 Brest 0-1 Nice | 04.02.24 Brest 0-0 Nice ## Pre-Match Odds | Brest Win | Draw | Nice Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.32 | 3.50 | 3.20 | An upset result — the market had the winner as the underdog at 3.20. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*