Brentford 3–0 Chelsea — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Brentford faced Chelsea in Premier League on 18 September 2026. The match ended **3–0**, with Brentford taking the victory over Chelsea. We placed **5 tips** on this match — **1 won** and **4 lost** (20% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Double Chance (X2)** @ 1.47 (confidence: 65%) — **LOST** The result fell outside the double chance coverage. ❌ **Over 3.5 Goals** @ 2.17 (confidence: 62%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip 3 goals — the 3.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Under 5.5 Cards** @ 1.36 (confidence: 74%) — **WON** 0 cards — clear of the 5.5 line. ❌ **Under 9.5 Corners** @ 2.02 (confidence: 51%) — **LOST** 16 corners — the 9.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 2.18 (confidence: 56%) — **LOST** 0 first-half goals — the 1.5 line went the other way. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (X2) | 1.47 | 65% | ❌ LOST | | Over 3.5 Goals ⭐ | 2.17 | 62% | ❌ LOST | | Under 5.5 Cards | 1.36 | 74% | ✅ WON | | Under 9.5 Corners | 2.02 | 51% | ❌ LOST | | Over 1.5 Goals (1st Half) | 2.18 | 56% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 1 of 5 tips won** (20% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 4.30 | 3 | | Corners | 9.7 | 16 | | Yellow Cards | 4.2 | 2 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 85% | No | Fewer goals than our model predicted. The defences outperformed expectations. ## Head-to-Head History 17.01.26 Chelsea 2-0 Brentford | 13.09.25 Brentford 2-2 Chelsea | 06.04.25 Brentford 0-0 Chelsea | 15.12.24 Chelsea 2-1 Brentford | 02.03.24 Brentford 2-2 Chelsea ## Pre-Match Odds | Brentford Win | Draw | Chelsea Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.75 | 3.75 | 2.42 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*