Braga 1–2 Gil Vicente — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Braga faced Gil Vicente in Primeira Liga on 19 October 2026. The match ended **1–2**, with Gil Vicente taking the victory over Braga. We placed **7 tips** on this match — **2 won** and **5 lost** (29% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Braga to Win** @ 1.61 (confidence: 60%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ❌ **Under 2.5 Goals** @ 1.83 (confidence: 59%) — **LOST** 3 goals — the 2.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals (No)** @ 1.43 (confidence: 69%) — **LOST** 3 goals — the 2.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Under 5.5 Cards** @ 1.55 (confidence: 61%) — **LOST** 6 cards — the 5.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Under 11.5 Corners** @ 1.31 (confidence: 79%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 5 corners — clear of the 11.5 line. ✅ **Under 1.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.42 (confidence: 72%) — **WON** 1 first-half goal — clear of the 1.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 0-1** @ 13.00 (confidence: 17%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Braga to Win | 1.61 | 60% | ❌ LOST | | Under 2.5 Goals | 1.83 | 59% | ❌ LOST | | Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals (No) | 1.43 | 69% | ❌ LOST | | Under 5.5 Cards | 1.55 | 61% | ❌ LOST | | Under 11.5 Corners ⭐ | 1.31 | 79% | ✅ WON | | Under 1.5 Goals (1st Half) | 1.42 | 72% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 0-1 | 13.00 | 17% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 2 of 7 tips won** (29% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.32 | 3 | | Corners | 8.9 | 5 | | Yellow Cards | 5.0 | 6 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 64% | Yes (1) | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 14.02.26 Gil Vicente 2-1 Braga | 14.09.25 Braga 0-1 Gil Vicente | 09.02.25 Braga 2-0 Gil Vicente | 01.09.24 Gil Vicente 0-0 Braga | 16.03.24 Braga 2-1 Gil Vicente ## Pre-Match Odds | Braga Win | Draw | Gil Vicente Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.61 | 4.10 | 6.10 | An upset result — the market had the winner as the underdog at 6.10. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*