Bolton 1–0 Cardiff — Match Recap & Tip AnalysisBolton faced Cardiff in Championship on 12 September 2026. The match ended **1–0**, with Bolton taking the victory over Cardiff. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **2 won** and **4 lost** (33% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Double Chance (X2)** @ 1.52 (confidence: 66%) — **LOST** The result fell outside the double chance coverage. ✅ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.62 (confidence: 61%) — **WON** 1 goal — clear of the 3.5 line. ❌ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.50 (confidence: 69%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip 7 cards — the 4.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Over 10.5 Corners** @ 1.75 (confidence: 55%) — **WON** 12 corners — clear of the 10.5 line. ❌ **Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.33 (confidence: 74%) — **LOST** 0 first-half goals — the 0.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-1** @ 6.90 (confidence: 11%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (X2) | 1.52 | 66% | ❌ LOST | | Under 3.5 Goals | 1.62 | 61% | ✅ WON | | Under 4.5 Cards ⭐ | 1.50 | 69% | ❌ LOST | | Over 10.5 Corners | 1.75 | 55% | ✅ WON | | Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half) | 1.33 | 74% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 1-1 | 6.90 | 11% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 2 of 6 tips won** (33% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.17 | 1 | | Corners | 11.2 | 12 | | Yellow Cards | 3.6 | 7 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 75% | No | Fewer goals than our model predicted. The defences outperformed expectations. ## Head-to-Head History 11.04.26 Cardiff 2-0 Bolton | 25.10.25 Bolton 1-0 Cardiff | 13.02.18 Cardiff 2-0 Bolton ## Pre-Match Odds | Bolton Win | Draw | Cardiff Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.62 | 3.60 | 2.60 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*