Besiktas 4–1 Marseille — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Besiktas faced Marseille in Europa League on 17 September 2026. The match ended **4–1**, with Besiktas taking the victory over Marseille. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **4 won** and **2 lost** (67% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 1.26 (confidence: 77%) — **WON** The 4–1 result covered this double chance selection. ✅ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.60 (confidence: 62%) — **WON** 5 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Under 5.5 Cards** @ 1.39 (confidence: 70%) — **WON** 0 cards — clear of the 5.5 line. ❌ **Over 8.5 Corners** @ 1.59 (confidence: 63%) — **LOST** 6 corners — the 8.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.32 (confidence: 75%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 2 first-half goals — clear of the 0.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 2-0** @ 10.00 (confidence: 12%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 1.26 | 77% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.60 | 62% | ✅ WON | | Under 5.5 Cards | 1.39 | 70% | ✅ WON | | Over 8.5 Corners | 1.59 | 63% | ❌ LOST | | Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half) ⭐ | 1.32 | 75% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 2-0 | 10.00 | 12% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 4 of 6 tips won** (67% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.20 | 5 | | Corners | 9.9 | 6 | | Yellow Cards | 4.5 | 3 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 76% | Yes (2) | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Head-to-Head History 28.11.07 Besiktas 2-1 Marseille | 18.09.07 Marseille 2-0 Besiktas ## Pre-Match Odds | Besiktas Win | Draw | Marseille Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.83 | 4.00 | 4.10 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*