Benfica 2–0 Vitoria Guimaraes — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Benfica faced Vitoria Guimaraes in Primeira Liga on 11 October 2026. The match ended **2–0**, with Benfica taking the victory over Vitoria Guimaraes. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **5 won** and **1 lost** (83% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Benfica to Win** @ 1.25 (confidence: 80%) — **WON** This prediction was correct. ✅ **Under 4.5 Goals** @ 1.30 (confidence: 77%) — **WON** 2 goals — clear of the 4.5 line. ✅ **Over 3.5 Cards** @ 1.40 (confidence: 69%) — **WON** 7 cards — clear of the 3.5 line. ❌ **Under 9.5 Corners** @ 1.87 (confidence: 54%) — **LOST** 17 corners — the 9.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.39 (confidence: 72%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 1 second-half goal — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Correct Score: 2-0** @ 6.60 (confidence: 16%) — **WON** This prediction was correct. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Benfica to Win | 1.25 | 80% | ✅ WON | | Under 4.5 Goals | 1.30 | 77% | ✅ WON | | Over 3.5 Cards | 1.40 | 69% | ✅ WON | | Under 9.5 Corners | 1.87 | 54% | ❌ LOST | | Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half) ⭐ | 1.39 | 72% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 2-0 | 6.60 | 16% | ✅ WON | **Overall: 5 of 6 tips won** (83% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.28 | 2 | | Corners | 9.4 | 17 | | Yellow Cards | 5.0 | 7 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 76% | — | Fewer goals than our model predicted. The defences outperformed expectations. ## Head-to-Head History 21.03.26 Benfica 3-0 Vitoria Guimaraes | 01.11.25 Vitoria Guimaraes 0-3 Benfica | 19.04.25 Vitoria Guimaraes 0-3 Benfica | 07.12.24 Benfica 1-0 Vitoria Guimaraes | 11.02.24 Vitoria Guimaraes 2-2 Benfica ## Pre-Match Odds | Benfica Win | Draw | Vitoria Guimaraes Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.25 | 6.60 | 12.50 | A predictable result, with the winner heavily favoured at 1.25. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*