Benfica 3–1 Lech Poznan — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Benfica faced Lech Poznan in Europa League on 5 November 2026. The match ended **3–1**, with Benfica taking the victory over Lech Poznan. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **5 won** and **1 lost** (83% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Over 3.5 Goals** @ 1.70 (confidence: 61%) — **WON** 4 goals — clear of the 3.5 line. ✅ **Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.20 (confidence: 82%) — **WON** 4 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Over 2.5 Cards** @ 1.38 (confidence: 69%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 3 cards — clear of the 2.5 line. ❌ **Over 9.5 Corners** @ 1.72 (confidence: 59%) — **LOST** 9 corners — the 9.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.45 (confidence: 69%) — **WON** 3 second-half goals — clear of the 1.5 line. ✅ **Correct Score: 3-1** @ 9.80 (confidence: 8%) — **WON** This prediction was correct. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Over 3.5 Goals | 1.70 | 61% | ✅ WON | | Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals | 1.20 | 82% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Cards ⭐ | 1.38 | 69% | ✅ WON | | Over 9.5 Corners | 1.72 | 59% | ❌ LOST | | Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.45 | 69% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 3-1 | 9.80 | 8% | ✅ WON | **Overall: 5 of 6 tips won** (83% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 4.25 | 4 | | Corners | 10.6 | 9 | | Yellow Cards | 3.9 | 3 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 85% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 03.12.20 Benfica 4-0 Lech Poznan | 22.10.20 Lech Poznan 2-4 Benfica ## Pre-Match Odds | Benfica Win | Draw | Lech Poznan Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.14 | 8.90 | 19.50 | A predictable result, with the winner heavily favoured at 1.14. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*