Benfica 3–1 Gil Vicente — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Benfica faced Gil Vicente in Primeira Liga on 13 September 2026. The match ended **3–1**, with Benfica taking the victory over Gil Vicente. We placed **5 tips** on this match — **1 won** and **4 lost** (20% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.71 (confidence: 67%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip 4 goals — the 3.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.47 (confidence: 65%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ❌ **Under 9.5 Corners** @ 1.92 (confidence: 54%) — **LOST** The corner market didn't hit. ✅ **Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.39 (confidence: 78%) — **WON** The second half stayed under 2.5 goals as we expected. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-0** @ 8.00 (confidence: 21%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Under 3.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.71 | 67% | ❌ LOST | | Under 4.5 Cards | 1.47 | 65% | ❌ LOST | | Under 9.5 Corners | 1.92 | 54% | ❌ LOST | | Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.39 | 78% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 1-0 | 8.00 | 21% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 1 of 5 tips won** (20% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.88 | 4 | | Corners | 9.4 | — | | Yellow Cards | 3.9 | — | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 72% | — | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Head-to-Head History 02.03.26 Gil Vicente 1-2 Benfica | 26.09.25 Benfica 2-1 Gil Vicente | 28.03.25 Gil Vicente 0-3 Benfica ## Pre-Match Odds | Benfica Win | Draw | Gil Vicente Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.16 | 8.30 | 18.00 | A predictable result, with the winner heavily favoured at 1.16. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*