Benfica 1–0 Alverca — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Benfica faced Alverca in Primeira Liga on 2 November 2026. The match ended **1–0**, with Benfica taking the victory over Alverca. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **1 won** and **5 lost** (17% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Over 3.5 Goals** @ 1.91 (confidence: 55%) — **LOST** 1 goal — the 3.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.22 (confidence: 79%) — **LOST** 1 goal — the 2.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Over 2.5 Cards** @ 1.34 (confidence: 76%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 4 cards — clear of the 2.5 line. ❌ **Under 10.5 Corners** @ 1.67 (confidence: 61%) — **LOST** 13 corners — the 10.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.57 (confidence: 64%) — **LOST** 1 second-half goal — the 1.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Correct Score: 3-0** @ 6.80 (confidence: 9%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Over 3.5 Goals | 1.91 | 55% | ❌ LOST | | Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals | 1.22 | 79% | ❌ LOST | | Over 2.5 Cards ⭐ | 1.34 | 76% | ✅ WON | | Under 10.5 Corners | 1.67 | 61% | ❌ LOST | | Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.57 | 64% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 3-0 | 6.80 | 9% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 1 of 6 tips won** (17% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.92 | 1 | | Corners | 9.8 | 13 | | Yellow Cards | 4.3 | 4 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 82% | — | Fewer goals than our model predicted. The defences outperformed expectations. ## Head-to-Head History 08.02.26 Benfica 2-1 Alverca | 31.08.25 Alverca 1-2 Benfica | 28.03.04 Benfica 2-0 Alverca | 09.11.03 Alverca 0-3 Benfica | 24.02.02 Alverca 1-3 Benfica ## Pre-Match Odds | Benfica Win | Draw | Alverca Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.16 | 8.50 | 16.00 | A predictable result, with the winner heavily favoured at 1.16. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*