Bayer Leverkusen 0–1 Marseille — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen faced Marseille in Europa League on 5 November 2026. The match ended **0–1**, with Marseille taking the victory over Bayer Leverkusen. We placed **7 tips** on this match — **2 won** and **5 lost** (29% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Bayer Leverkusen to Win** @ 1.34 (confidence: 69%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ❌ **Over 3.5 Goals** @ 1.93 (confidence: 61%) — **LOST** 1 goal — the 3.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.24 (confidence: 82%) — **LOST** 1 goal — the 2.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Under 5.5 Cards** @ 1.32 (confidence: 73%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 4 cards — clear of the 5.5 line. ✅ **Over 7.5 Corners** @ 1.34 (confidence: 71%) — **WON** 8 corners — clear of the 7.5 line. ❌ **Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.56 (confidence: 68%) — **LOST** 1 second-half goal — the 1.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Correct Score: 3-1** @ 9.40 (confidence: 6%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Bayer Leverkusen to Win | 1.34 | 69% | ❌ LOST | | Over 3.5 Goals | 1.93 | 61% | ❌ LOST | | Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals | 1.24 | 82% | ❌ LOST | | Under 5.5 Cards ⭐ | 1.32 | 73% | ✅ WON | | Over 7.5 Corners | 1.34 | 71% | ✅ WON | | Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.56 | 68% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 3-1 | 9.40 | 6% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 2 of 7 tips won** (29% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 4.23 | 1 | | Corners | 9.6 | 8 | | Yellow Cards | 4.2 | 4 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 84% | — | Fewer goals than our model predicted. The defences outperformed expectations. ## Head-to-Head History 02.08.23 Marseille 1-2 Bayer Leverkusen | 19.07.14 Bayer Leverkusen 1-4 Marseille ## Pre-Match Odds | Bayer Leverkusen Win | Draw | Marseille Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.34 | 5.80 | 7.70 | An upset result — the market had the winner as the underdog at 7.70. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*