Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 Freiburg — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Bayer Leverkusen faced Freiburg in Bundesliga on 18 October 2026. The match ended **2–1**, with Bayer Leverkusen taking the victory over Freiburg. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **4 won** and **2 lost** (67% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 1.23 (confidence: 79%) — **WON** The 2–1 result covered this double chance selection. ✅ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.48 (confidence: 68%) — **WON** 3 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.29 (confidence: 78%) — **WON** 3 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Under 3.5 Cards** @ 2.05 (confidence: 52%) — **WON** 1 card — clear of the 3.5 line. ❌ **Over 7.5 Corners** @ 1.34 (confidence: 73%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip 7 corners — the 7.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-2** @ 15.00 (confidence: 9%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 1.23 | 79% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.48 | 68% | ✅ WON | | Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals | 1.29 | 78% | ✅ WON | | Under 3.5 Cards | 2.05 | 52% | ✅ WON | | Over 7.5 Corners ⭐ | 1.34 | 73% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 1-2 | 15.00 | 9% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 4 of 6 tips won** (67% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.49 | 3 | | Corners | 9.8 | 7 | | Yellow Cards | 3.7 | 1 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 78% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 07.03.26 Freiburg 3-3 Bayer Leverkusen | 26.10.25 Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 Freiburg | 04.05.25 Freiburg 2-2 Bayer Leverkusen | 21.12.24 Bayer Leverkusen 5-1 Freiburg | 17.03.24 Freiburg 2-3 Bayer Leverkusen ## Pre-Match Odds | Bayer Leverkusen Win | Draw | Freiburg Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.73 | 4.40 | 4.65 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*