AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Willem II — Match Recap & Tip AnalysisAZ Alkmaar faced Willem II in Eredivisie on 11 September 2026. The match ended **1–1** in a draw. We placed **5 tips** on this match — **1 won** and **4 lost** (20% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Over 3.5 Goals** @ 1.73 (confidence: 68%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip 2 goals — the 3.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Over 1.5 Cards** @ 1.34 (confidence: 72%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ✅ **Over 8.5 Corners** @ 1.32 (confidence: 73%) — **WON** The corner count went our way. ❌ **Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.45 (confidence: 74%) — **LOST** The second half fell short of the 1.5 goal line. ❌ **Correct Score: 4-0** @ 8.70 (confidence: 8%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Over 3.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.73 | 68% | ❌ LOST | | Over 1.5 Cards | 1.34 | 72% | ❌ LOST | | Over 8.5 Corners | 1.32 | 73% | ✅ WON | | Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.45 | 74% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 4-0 | 8.70 | 8% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 1 of 5 tips won** (20% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 4.62 | 2 | | Corners | 10.9 | — | | Yellow Cards | 2.8 | — | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 87% | — | Fewer goals than our model predicted. The defences outperformed expectations. ## Head-to-Head History 02.02.25 Willem II 0-2 AZ Alkmaar | 10.11.24 AZ Alkmaar 1-2 Willem II | 20.03.22 Willem II 2-2 AZ Alkmaar | 18.12.21 AZ Alkmaar 4-1 Willem II | 03.04.21 Willem II 0-1 AZ Alkmaar ## Pre-Match Odds | AZ Alkmaar Win | Draw | Willem II Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.16 | 8.90 | 17.50 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*