AZ Alkmaar 1–0 Telstar — Match Recap & Tip AnalysisAZ Alkmaar faced Telstar in Eredivisie on 20 September 2026. The match ended **1–0**, with AZ Alkmaar taking the victory over Telstar. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **4 won** and **2 lost** (67% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **AZ Alkmaar to Win** @ 1.27 (confidence: 80%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip This prediction was correct. ✅ **Under 4.5 Goals** @ 1.48 (confidence: 67%) — **WON** 1 goal — clear of the 4.5 line. ✅ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.35 (confidence: 73%) — **WON** 0 cards — clear of the 4.5 line. ❌ **Over 9.5 Corners** @ 1.43 (confidence: 70%) — **LOST** 7 corners — the 9.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.55 (confidence: 63%) — **WON** 0 second-half goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 3-0** @ 8.90 (confidence: 14%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | AZ Alkmaar to Win ⭐ | 1.27 | 80% | ✅ WON | | Under 4.5 Goals | 1.48 | 67% | ✅ WON | | Under 4.5 Cards | 1.35 | 73% | ✅ WON | | Over 9.5 Corners | 1.43 | 70% | ❌ LOST | | Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.55 | 63% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 3-0 | 8.90 | 14% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 4 of 6 tips won** (67% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.79 | 1 | | Corners | 11.7 | 7 | | Yellow Cards | 3.4 | 2 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 81% | — | Fewer goals than our model predicted. The defences outperformed expectations. ## Head-to-Head History 04.03.26 AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Telstar | 25.01.26 Telstar 0-1 AZ Alkmaar | 05.10.25 AZ Alkmaar 2-1 Telstar | 13.07.19 Telstar 3-0 AZ Alkmaar | 16.07.16 AZ Alkmaar 3-0 Telstar ## Pre-Match Odds | AZ Alkmaar Win | Draw | Telstar Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.27 | 6.60 | 10.25 | A predictable result, with the winner heavily favoured at 1.27. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*