AZ Alkmaar 1–2 Juventus — Match Recap & Tip AnalysisAZ Alkmaar faced Juventus in Europa League on 5 November 2026. The match ended **1–2**, with Juventus taking the victory over AZ Alkmaar. We placed **7 tips** on this match — **5 won** and **2 lost** (71% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 1.87 (confidence: 55%) — **LOST** The result fell outside the double chance coverage. ✅ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.42 (confidence: 70%) — **WON** 3 goals — clear of the 3.5 line. ✅ **Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.46 (confidence: 64%) — **WON** 3 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Under 5.5 Cards** @ 1.32 (confidence: 73%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 4 cards — clear of the 5.5 line. ✅ **Under 9.5 Corners** @ 1.87 (confidence: 50%) — **WON** 6 corners — clear of the 9.5 line. ✅ **Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.38 (confidence: 71%) — **WON** 2 first-half goals — clear of the 0.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-1** @ 6.80 (confidence: 12%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 1.87 | 55% | ❌ LOST | | Under 3.5 Goals | 1.42 | 70% | ✅ WON | | Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals | 1.46 | 64% | ✅ WON | | Under 5.5 Cards ⭐ | 1.32 | 73% | ✅ WON | | Under 9.5 Corners | 1.87 | 50% | ✅ WON | | Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half) | 1.38 | 71% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 1-1 | 6.80 | 12% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 5 of 7 tips won** (71% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.78 | 3 | | Corners | 9.7 | 6 | | Yellow Cards | 4.2 | 4 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 71% | Yes (2) | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Pre-Match Odds | AZ Alkmaar Win | Draw | Juventus Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 3.75 | 3.75 | 2.07 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*