AZ Alkmaar 2–1 H. Beer Sheva — Match Recap & Tip AnalysisAZ Alkmaar faced H. Beer Sheva in Europa League on 15 October 2026. The match ended **2–1**, with AZ Alkmaar taking the victory over H. Beer Sheva. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **4 won** and **2 lost** (67% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **AZ Alkmaar to Win** @ 1.31 (confidence: 69%) — **WON** This prediction was correct. ✅ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.71 (confidence: 61%) — **WON** 3 goals — clear of the 3.5 line. ✅ **BTTS or O2.5+: YES** @ 1.31 (confidence: 62%) — **WON** 3 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Over 3.5 Cards** @ 1.72 (confidence: 57%) — **WON** 8 cards — clear of the 3.5 line. ❌ **Over 7.5 Corners** @ 1.32 (confidence: 78%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip 6 corners — the 7.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-0** @ 9.20 (confidence: 12%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | AZ Alkmaar to Win | 1.31 | 69% | ✅ WON | | Under 3.5 Goals | 1.71 | 61% | ✅ WON | | BTTS or O2.5+: YES | 1.31 | 62% | ✅ WON | | Over 3.5 Cards | 1.72 | 57% | ✅ WON | | Over 7.5 Corners ⭐ | 1.32 | 78% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 1-0 | 9.20 | 12% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 4 of 6 tips won** (67% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.16 | 3 | | Corners | 10.4 | 6 | | Yellow Cards | 4.2 | 8 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 75% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Pre-Match Odds | AZ Alkmaar Win | Draw | H. Beer Sheva Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.31 | 5.90 | 8.60 | A predictable result, with the winner heavily favoured at 1.31. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*