AZ Alkmaar 4–3 Groningen — Match Recap & Tip AnalysisAZ Alkmaar faced Groningen in Eredivisie on 8 November 2026. The match ended **4–3**, with AZ Alkmaar taking the victory over Groningen. We placed **7 tips** on this match — **6 won** and **1 lost** (86% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **AZ Alkmaar to Win** @ 1.50 (confidence: 61%) — **WON** This prediction was correct. ✅ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.42 (confidence: 70%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 7 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.26 (confidence: 76%) — **WON** 7 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Over 2.5 Cards** @ 1.87 (confidence: 62%) — **WON** 7 cards — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Under 10.5 Corners** @ 1.75 (confidence: 57%) — **WON** 7 corners — clear of the 10.5 line. ✅ **Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.65 (confidence: 60%) — **WON** 5 second-half goals — clear of the 1.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 2-1** @ 7.90 (confidence: 9%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | AZ Alkmaar to Win | 1.50 | 61% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.42 | 70% | ✅ WON | | Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals | 1.26 | 76% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Cards | 1.87 | 62% | ✅ WON | | Under 10.5 Corners | 1.75 | 57% | ✅ WON | | Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.65 | 60% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 2-1 | 7.90 | 9% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 6 of 7 tips won** (86% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.64 | 7 | | Corners | 10.1 | 7 | | Yellow Cards | 3.4 | 7 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 80% | — | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Head-to-Head History 22.03.26 Groningen 3-0 AZ Alkmaar | 10.08.25 AZ Alkmaar 4-1 Groningen | 11.05.25 AZ Alkmaar 3-0 Groningen | 18.12.24 AZ Alkmaar 3-1 Groningen | 25.08.24 Groningen 0-0 AZ Alkmaar ## Pre-Match Odds | AZ Alkmaar Win | Draw | Groningen Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.50 | 4.80 | 5.90 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*