Auxerre 2–1 Brest — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Auxerre faced Brest in Ligue 1 on 20 September 2026. The match ended **2–1**, with Auxerre taking the victory over Brest. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **4 won** and **2 lost** (67% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Brest to Win** @ 2.32 (confidence: 46%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ✅ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.75 (confidence: 62%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 3 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.57 (confidence: 65%) — **WON** 0 cards — clear of the 4.5 line. ✅ **Over 8.5 Corners** @ 1.44 (confidence: 68%) — **WON** 11 corners — clear of the 8.5 line. ✅ **Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.38 (confidence: 75%) — **WON** 1 first-half goal — clear of the 0.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-2** @ 8.90 (confidence: 9%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Brest to Win | 2.32 | 46% | ❌ LOST | | Over 2.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.75 | 62% | ✅ WON | | Under 4.5 Cards | 1.57 | 65% | ✅ WON | | Over 8.5 Corners | 1.44 | 68% | ✅ WON | | Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half) | 1.38 | 75% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 1-2 | 8.90 | 9% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 4 of 6 tips won** (67% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.18 | 3 | | Corners | 10.4 | 11 | | Yellow Cards | 3.9 | 2 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 75% | Yes (1) | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 21.03.26 Auxerre 3-0 Brest | 04.01.26 Brest 2-0 Auxerre | 14.02.25 Brest 2-2 Auxerre | 27.09.24 Auxerre 3-0 Brest | 14.05.23 Brest 1-0 Auxerre ## Pre-Match Odds | Auxerre Win | Draw | Brest Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 3.05 | 3.55 | 2.32 | An upset result — the market had the winner as the underdog at 3.05. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*