Austria 3–1 Israel — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Austria faced Israel in Nations League on 24 September 2026. The match ended **3–1**, with Austria taking the victory over Israel. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **2 won** and **4 lost** (33% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Austria to Win** @ 1.47 (confidence: 65%) — **WON** This prediction was correct. ❌ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.62 (confidence: 60%) — **LOST** 4 goals — the 3.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Over 2.5 Cards** @ 1.34 (confidence: 72%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip 0 cards — the 2.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Under 9.5 Corners** @ 1.64 (confidence: 63%) — **WON** 6 corners — clear of the 9.5 line. ❌ **Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.36 (confidence: 73%) — **LOST** 3 second-half goals — the 2.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-1** @ 8.60 (confidence: 11%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Austria to Win | 1.47 | 65% | ✅ WON | | Under 3.5 Goals | 1.62 | 60% | ❌ LOST | | Over 2.5 Cards ⭐ | 1.34 | 72% | ❌ LOST | | Under 9.5 Corners | 1.64 | 63% | ✅ WON | | Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.36 | 73% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 1-1 | 8.60 | 11% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 2 of 6 tips won** (33% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.19 | 4 | | Corners | 8.7 | 6 | | Yellow Cards | 4.0 | 6 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 75% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 12.11.21 Austria 4-2 Israel | 04.09.21 Israel 5-2 Austria | 10.10.19 Austria 3-1 Israel | 24.03.19 Israel 4-2 Austria | 27.10.01 Israel 1-1 Austria ## Pre-Match Odds | Austria Win | Draw | Israel Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.47 | 4.85 | 6.30 | A predictable result, with the winner heavily favoured at 1.47. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*