Austin FC 1–4 Nashville SC — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Austin FC faced Nashville SC in MLS on 11 October 2026. The match ended **1–4**, with Nashville SC taking the victory over Austin FC. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **3 won** and **3 lost** (50% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Nashville SC to Win** @ 1.97 (confidence: 52%) — **WON** This prediction was correct. ❌ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.45 (confidence: 71%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip 5 goals — the 3.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.87 (confidence: 55%) — **WON** 3 cards — clear of the 4.5 line. ✅ **Under 10.5 Corners** @ 1.60 (confidence: 60%) — **WON** 10 corners — clear of the 10.5 line. ❌ **Under 1.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.87 (confidence: 54%) — **LOST** 4 second-half goals — the 1.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Correct Score: 0-1** @ 8.40 (confidence: 14%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Nashville SC to Win | 1.97 | 52% | ✅ WON | | Under 3.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.45 | 71% | ❌ LOST | | Under 4.5 Cards | 1.87 | 55% | ✅ WON | | Under 10.5 Corners | 1.60 | 60% | ✅ WON | | Under 1.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.87 | 54% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 0-1 | 8.40 | 14% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 3 of 6 tips won** (50% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.73 | 5 | | Corners | 9.8 | 10 | | Yellow Cards | 4.5 | 3 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 70% | — | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Head-to-Head History 02.10.25 Austin FC 1-2 Nashville SC | 15.02.25 Austin FC 2-1 Nashville SC | 25.08.24 Nashville SC 0-2 Austin FC | 18.09.22 Austin FC 1-1 Nashville SC | 04.09.22 Nashville SC 3-0 Austin FC ## Pre-Match Odds | Austin FC Win | Draw | Nashville SC Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 3.80 | 3.70 | 1.97 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*