Augsburg 1–2 Freiburg — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Augsburg faced Freiburg in Bundesliga on 31 October 2026. The match ended **1–2**, with Freiburg taking the victory over Augsburg. We placed **7 tips** on this match — **5 won** and **2 lost** (71% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (X2)** @ 1.45 (confidence: 66%) — **WON** The 1–2 result covered this double chance selection. ✅ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.60 (confidence: 73%) — **WON** 3 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.33 (confidence: 78%) — **WON** 3 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.52 (confidence: 66%) — **WON** 3 cards — clear of the 4.5 line. ❌ **Over 8.5 Corners** @ 1.55 (confidence: 63%) — **LOST** 3 corners — the 8.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.32 (confidence: 81%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 1 first-half goal — clear of the 0.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 2-2** @ 10.00 (confidence: 6%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (X2) | 1.45 | 66% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.60 | 73% | ✅ WON | | Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals | 1.33 | 78% | ✅ WON | | Under 4.5 Cards | 1.52 | 66% | ✅ WON | | Over 8.5 Corners | 1.55 | 63% | ❌ LOST | | Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half) ⭐ | 1.32 | 81% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 2-2 | 10.00 | 6% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 5 of 7 tips won** (71% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.77 | 3 | | Corners | 9.9 | 3 | | Yellow Cards | 3.8 | 3 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 81% | Yes (1) | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 18.01.26 Augsburg 2-2 Freiburg | 23.08.25 Freiburg 1-3 Augsburg | 02.03.25 Augsburg 0-0 Freiburg | 19.10.24 Freiburg 3-1 Augsburg | 25.02.24 Augsburg 2-1 Freiburg ## Pre-Match Odds | Augsburg Win | Draw | Freiburg Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.82 | 3.65 | 2.37 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*