Augsburg 2–2 Bayern Munich — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Augsburg faced Bayern Munich in Bundesliga on 10 October 2026. The match ended **2–2** in a draw. We placed **5 tips** on this match — **3 won** and **2 lost** (60% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Under 4.5 Goals** @ 2.00 (confidence: 55%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 4 goals — clear of the 4.5 line. ✅ **Under 3.5 Cards** @ 1.47 (confidence: 67%) — **WON** 3 cards — clear of the 3.5 line. ✅ **Over 8.5 Corners** @ 1.38 (confidence: 72%) — **WON** 14 corners — clear of the 8.5 line. ❌ **Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.95 (confidence: 54%) — **LOST** 3 second-half goals — the 2.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-2** @ 12.00 (confidence: 9%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Under 4.5 Goals ⭐ | 2.00 | 55% | ✅ WON | | Under 3.5 Cards | 1.47 | 67% | ✅ WON | | Over 8.5 Corners | 1.38 | 72% | ✅ WON | | Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.95 | 54% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 1-2 | 12.00 | 9% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 3 of 5 tips won** (60% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 4.40 | 4 | | Corners | 10.8 | 14 | | Yellow Cards | 2.9 | 3 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 86% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 24.01.26 Bayern Munich 1-2 Augsburg | 30.08.25 Augsburg 2-3 Bayern Munich | 04.04.25 Augsburg 1-3 Bayern Munich | 22.11.24 Bayern Munich 3-0 Augsburg | 27.01.24 Augsburg 2-3 Bayern Munich ## Pre-Match Odds | Augsburg Win | Draw | Bayern Munich Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 12.00 | 8.90 | 1.19 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*