Augsburg 2–2 Bayer Leverkusen — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Augsburg faced Bayer Leverkusen in Bundesliga on 12 September 2026. The match ended **2–2** in a draw. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **4 won** and **2 lost** (67% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (X2)** @ 1.31 (confidence: 74%) — **WON** The 2–2 result covered this double chance selection. ✅ **Under 4.5 Goals** @ 1.35 (confidence: 72%) — **WON** 4 goals — clear of the 4.5 line. ✅ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.47 (confidence: 68%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 2 cards — clear of the 4.5 line. ✅ **Over 8.5 Corners** @ 1.45 (confidence: 68%) — **WON** 16 corners — clear of the 8.5 line. ❌ **Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.44 (confidence: 69%) — **LOST** 3 second-half goals — the 2.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Correct Score: 2-1** @ 13.00 (confidence: 9%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (X2) | 1.31 | 74% | ✅ WON | | Under 4.5 Goals | 1.35 | 72% | ✅ WON | | Under 4.5 Cards ⭐ | 1.47 | 68% | ✅ WON | | Over 8.5 Corners | 1.45 | 68% | ✅ WON | | Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.44 | 69% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 2-1 | 13.00 | 9% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 4 of 6 tips won** (67% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.52 | 4 | | Corners | 10.4 | 16 | | Yellow Cards | 3.7 | 2 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 79% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 18.04.26 Bayer Leverkusen 1-2 Augsburg | 06.12.25 Augsburg 2-0 Bayer Leverkusen | 26.04.25 Bayer Leverkusen 2-0 Augsburg ## Pre-Match Odds | Augsburg Win | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 3.75 | 4.15 | 1.88 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*