Atlanta Utd 1–3 FC Cincinnati — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Atlanta Utd faced FC Cincinnati in MLS on 11 October 2026. The match ended **1–3**, with FC Cincinnati taking the victory over Atlanta Utd. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **2 won** and **4 lost** (33% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 1.53 (confidence: 65%) — **LOST** The result fell outside the double chance coverage. ✅ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.42 (confidence: 69%) — **WON** 4 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ❌ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.55 (confidence: 61%) — **LOST** 5 cards — the 4.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Over 8.5 Corners** @ 1.41 (confidence: 69%) — **WON** 9 corners — clear of the 8.5 line. ❌ **Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.45 (confidence: 67%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip 4 second-half goals — the 2.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Correct Score: 2-1** @ 9.40 (confidence: 9%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 1.53 | 65% | ❌ LOST | | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.42 | 69% | ✅ WON | | Under 4.5 Cards | 1.55 | 61% | ❌ LOST | | Over 8.5 Corners | 1.41 | 69% | ✅ WON | | Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half) ⭐ | 1.45 | 67% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 2-1 | 9.40 | 9% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 2 of 6 tips won** (33% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.58 | 4 | | Corners | 10.6 | 9 | | Yellow Cards | 4.1 | 5 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 79% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 21.02.26 FC Cincinnati 2-0 Atlanta Utd | 26.05.25 Atlanta Utd 4-2 FC Cincinnati | 22.03.25 FC Cincinnati 2-2 Atlanta Utd | 12.02.25 Atlanta Utd 2-2 FC Cincinnati | 16.05.24 FC Cincinnati 1-0 Atlanta Utd ## Pre-Match Odds | Atlanta Utd Win | Draw | FC Cincinnati Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.45 | 3.90 | 2.75 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*