Atl. Madrid 2–1 Real Madrid — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Atl. Madrid faced Real Madrid in LaLiga on 20 September 2026. The match ended **2–1**, with Atl. Madrid taking the victory over Real Madrid. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **4 won** and **2 lost** (67% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 1.80 (confidence: 56%) — **WON** The 2–1 result covered this double chance selection. ✅ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.55 (confidence: 70%) — **WON** 3 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Under 5.5 Cards** @ 1.78 (confidence: 64%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 0 cards — clear of the 5.5 line. ✅ **Under 10.5 Corners** @ 1.80 (confidence: 54%) — **WON** 4 corners — clear of the 10.5 line. ❌ **Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.31 (confidence: 79%) — **LOST** 0 first-half goals — the 0.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Correct Score: 2-2** @ 11.00 (confidence: 7%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 1.80 | 56% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.55 | 70% | ✅ WON | | Under 5.5 Cards ⭐ | 1.78 | 64% | ✅ WON | | Under 10.5 Corners | 1.80 | 54% | ✅ WON | | Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half) | 1.31 | 79% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 2-2 | 11.00 | 7% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 4 of 6 tips won** (67% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.60 | 3 | | Corners | 10.4 | 4 | | Yellow Cards | 4.8 | 5 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 79% | No | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 22.03.26 Real Madrid 3-2 Atl. Madrid | 08.01.26 Atl. Madrid 1-2 Real Madrid | 27.09.25 Atl. Madrid 5-2 Real Madrid | 12.03.25Pen Atl. Madrid 1-0 Real Madrid | 04.03.25 Real Madrid 2-1 Atl. Madrid ## Pre-Match Odds | Atl. Madrid Win | Draw | Real Madrid Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 3.45 | 3.75 | 2.10 | An upset result — the market had the winner as the underdog at 3.45. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*