Ath Bilbao 3–0 Atl. Madrid — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Ath Bilbao faced Atl. Madrid in LaLiga on 5 September 2026. The match ended **3–0**, with Ath Bilbao taking the victory over Atl. Madrid. We placed **5 tips** on this match — **2 won** and **3 lost** (40% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Double Chance (X2)** @ 1.44 (confidence: 68%) — **LOST** The result fell outside the double chance coverage. ✅ **Over 1.5 Goals** @ 1.31 (confidence: 77%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 3 total goals cleared the 1.5 line. ✅ **Over 9.5 Corners** @ 1.87 (confidence: 52%) — **WON** The corner count went our way. ❌ **Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.42 (confidence: 69%) — **LOST** Not enough first-half goals to clear the 0.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-1** @ 6.70 (confidence: 11%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (X2) | 1.44 | 68% | ❌ LOST | | Over 1.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.31 | 77% | ✅ WON | | Over 9.5 Corners | 1.87 | 52% | ✅ WON | | Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half) | 1.42 | 69% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 1-1 | 6.70 | 11% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 2 of 5 tips won** (40% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.80 | 3 | | Corners | 10.0 | — | | Yellow Cards | 4.6 | — | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 71% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 25.04.26 Atl. Madrid 3-2 Ath Bilbao | 06.12.25 Ath Bilbao 1-0 Atl. Madrid | 01.03.25 Atl. Madrid 1-0 Ath Bilbao | 31.08.24 Ath Bilbao 0-1 Atl. Madrid | 27.04.24 Atl. Madrid 3-1 Ath Bilbao ## Pre-Match Odds | Ath Bilbao Win | Draw | Atl. Madrid Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.87 | 3.40 | 2.47 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*