Atalanta 3–1 Venezia — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Atalanta faced Venezia in Serie A on 12 October 2026. The match ended **3–1**, with Atalanta taking the victory over Venezia. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **3 won** and **3 lost** (50% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Atalanta to Win** @ 1.60 (confidence: 57%) — **WON** This prediction was correct. ❌ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.62 (confidence: 65%) — **LOST** 4 goals — the 3.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Under 3.5 Cards** @ 1.85 (confidence: 58%) — **WON** 3 cards — clear of the 3.5 line. ❌ **Under 9.5 Corners** @ 1.57 (confidence: 64%) — **LOST** 15 corners — the 9.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.36 (confidence: 76%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 0 second-half goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-0** @ 9.40 (confidence: 13%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Atalanta to Win | 1.60 | 57% | ✅ WON | | Under 3.5 Goals | 1.62 | 65% | ❌ LOST | | Under 3.5 Cards | 1.85 | 58% | ✅ WON | | Under 9.5 Corners | 1.57 | 64% | ❌ LOST | | Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half) ⭐ | 1.36 | 76% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 1-0 | 9.40 | 13% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 3 of 6 tips won** (50% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.99 | 4 | | Corners | 8.6 | 15 | | Yellow Cards | 3.4 | 3 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 73% | — | The match exceeded our expected goals model significantly — a higher-scoring affair than the statistics suggested. ## Head-to-Head History 01.03.25 Atalanta 0-0 Venezia | 20.10.24 Venezia 0-2 Atalanta | 23.04.22 Venezia 1-3 Atalanta | 12.01.22 Atalanta 2-0 Venezia | 30.11.21 Atalanta 4-0 Venezia ## Pre-Match Odds | Atalanta Win | Draw | Venezia Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.60 | 4.35 | 5.30 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*