Atalanta 1–2 Cagliari — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Atalanta faced Cagliari in Serie A on 12 September 2026. The match ended **1–2**, with Cagliari taking the victory over Atalanta. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **3 won** and **3 lost** (50% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 1.20 (confidence: 80%) — **LOST** The result fell outside the double chance coverage. ❌ **Under 2.5 Goals** @ 1.92 (confidence: 64%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip 3 goals — the 2.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Under 3.5 Cards** @ 1.62 (confidence: 61%) — **WON** This prediction was correct. ✅ **Under 10.5 Corners** @ 1.53 (confidence: 64%) — **WON** The corner count went our way. ✅ **Under 1.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.75 (confidence: 66%) — **WON** The second half stayed under 1.5 goals as we expected. ❌ **Correct Score: 0-0** @ 11.00 (confidence: 34%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 1.20 | 80% | ❌ LOST | | Under 2.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.92 | 64% | ❌ LOST | | Under 3.5 Cards | 1.62 | 61% | ✅ WON | | Under 10.5 Corners | 1.53 | 64% | ✅ WON | | Under 1.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.75 | 66% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 0-0 | 11.00 | 34% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 3 of 6 tips won** (50% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.12 | 3 | | Corners | 9.4 | — | | Yellow Cards | 3.2 | — | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 61% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 27.04.26 Cagliari 3-2 Atalanta | 13.12.25 Atalanta 2-1 Cagliari | 15.02.25 Atalanta 0-0 Cagliari ## Pre-Match Odds | Atalanta Win | Draw | Cagliari Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.73 | 3.80 | 4.90 | An upset result — the market had the winner as the underdog at 4.90. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*