Aston Villa 3–1 Viking — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Aston Villa faced Viking in Champions League on 21 October 2026. The match ended **3–1**, with Aston Villa taking the victory over Viking. We placed **7 tips** on this match — **5 won** and **2 lost** (71% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Aston Villa to Win** @ 1.23 (confidence: 77%) — **WON** This prediction was correct. ✅ **Over 3.5 Goals** @ 1.73 (confidence: 60%) — **WON** 4 goals — clear of the 3.5 line. ✅ **Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.19 (confidence: 83%) — **WON** 4 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ❌ **Over 2.5 Cards** @ 1.47 (confidence: 67%) — **LOST** 0 cards — the 2.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Over 8.5 Corners** @ 1.46 (confidence: 69%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 14 corners — clear of the 8.5 line. ✅ **Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.48 (confidence: 68%) — **WON** 2 second-half goals — clear of the 1.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 2-1** @ 9.70 (confidence: 6%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Aston Villa to Win | 1.23 | 77% | ✅ WON | | Over 3.5 Goals | 1.73 | 60% | ✅ WON | | Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals | 1.19 | 83% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Cards | 1.47 | 67% | ❌ LOST | | Over 8.5 Corners ⭐ | 1.46 | 69% | ✅ WON | | Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.48 | 68% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 2-1 | 9.70 | 6% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 5 of 7 tips won** (71% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 4.16 | 4 | | Corners | 10.5 | 14 | | Yellow Cards | 3.7 | 0 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 84% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Pre-Match Odds | Aston Villa Win | Draw | Viking Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.25 | 7.70 | 12.00 | A predictable result, with the winner heavily favoured at 1.25. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*