Aston Villa 2–2 Brentford — Match Recap & Tip AnalysisAston Villa faced Brentford in Premier League on 10 October 2026. The match ended **2–2** in a draw. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **5 won** and **1 lost** (83% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (X2)** @ 1.47 (confidence: 66%) — **WON** The 2–2 result covered this double chance selection. ✅ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.68 (confidence: 69%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 4 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Over 2.5 Cards** @ 1.37 (confidence: 72%) — **WON** 7 cards — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Under 10.5 Corners** @ 1.69 (confidence: 60%) — **WON** 4 corners — clear of the 10.5 line. ✅ **Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.36 (confidence: 79%) — **WON** 2 first-half goals — clear of the 0.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-3** @ 18.00 (confidence: 7%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (X2) | 1.47 | 66% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.68 | 69% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Cards | 1.37 | 72% | ✅ WON | | Under 10.5 Corners | 1.69 | 60% | ✅ WON | | Over 0.5 Goals (1st Half) | 1.36 | 79% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 1-3 | 18.00 | 7% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 5 of 6 tips won** (83% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.56 | 4 | | Corners | 9.8 | 4 | | Yellow Cards | 4.0 | 7 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 79% | Yes (2) | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 01.02.26 Aston Villa 0-1 Brentford | 16.09.25Pen Brentford 1-1 Aston Villa | 23.08.25 Brentford 1-0 Aston Villa | 08.03.25 Brentford 0-1 Aston Villa | 04.12.24 Aston Villa 3-1 Brentford ## Pre-Match Odds | Aston Villa Win | Draw | Brentford Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.80 | 3.55 | 2.50 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*