AS Roma 2–0 Genoa — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

AS Roma faced Genoa in Serie A on 17 October 2026. The match ended **2–0**, with AS Roma taking the victory over Genoa. We placed **6 tips** on this match — **3 won** and **3 lost** (50% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **AS Roma to Win** @ 1.62 (confidence: 69%) — **WON** This prediction was correct. ❌ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.87 (confidence: 60%) — **LOST** 2 goals — the 2.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.53 (confidence: 77%) — **LOST** 2 goals — the 2.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.60 (confidence: 66%) — **LOST** 5 cards — the 4.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Under 11.5 Corners** @ 1.34 (confidence: 75%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 8 corners — clear of the 11.5 line. ✅ **Correct Score: 2-0** @ 7.30 (confidence: 10%) — **WON** This prediction was correct. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | AS Roma to Win | 1.62 | 69% | ✅ WON | | Over 2.5 Goals | 1.87 | 60% | ❌ LOST | | Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals | 1.53 | 77% | ❌ LOST | | Under 4.5 Cards | 1.60 | 66% | ❌ LOST | | Under 11.5 Corners ⭐ | 1.34 | 75% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 2-0 | 7.30 | 10% | ✅ WON | **Overall: 3 of 6 tips won** (50% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.13 | 2 | | Corners | 9.3 | 8 | | Yellow Cards | 3.8 | 5 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 75% | — | Fewer goals than our model predicted. The defences outperformed expectations. ## Head-to-Head History 08.03.26 Genoa 2-1 AS Roma | 29.12.25 AS Roma 3-1 Genoa | 17.01.25 AS Roma 3-1 Genoa | 15.09.24 Genoa 1-1 AS Roma | 19.05.24 AS Roma 1-0 Genoa ## Pre-Match Odds | AS Roma Win | Draw | Genoa Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.62 | 4.85 | 7.20 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*