Arouca 2–1 Maritimo — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Arouca faced Maritimo in Primeira Liga on 29 August 2026. The match ended **2–1**, with Arouca taking the victory over Maritimo. We placed **5 tips** on this match — **3 won** and **2 lost** (60% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 1.33 (confidence: 73%) — **WON** The 2–1 result covered this double chance selection. ✅ **Over 1.5 Goals** @ 1.38 (confidence: 71%) — **WON** 3 total goals cleared the 1.5 line. ❌ **Over 4.5 Cards** @ 1.55 (confidence: 62%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ✅ **Under 8.5 Corners** @ 1.82 (confidence: 51%) — **WON** The corner count went our way. ❌ **Under 1.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.36 (confidence: 72%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip The first half saw more than 1.5 goals, going against our under prediction. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 1.33 | 73% | ✅ WON | | Over 1.5 Goals | 1.38 | 71% | ✅ WON | | Over 4.5 Cards | 1.55 | 62% | ❌ LOST | | Under 8.5 Corners | 1.82 | 51% | ✅ WON | | Under 1.5 Goals (1st Half) ⭐ | 1.36 | 72% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 3 of 5 tips won** (60% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.47 | 3 | | Corners | 8.6 | 5 | | Yellow Cards | 5.6 | 3 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 66% | Yes (2) | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 26.07.25 Arouca 4-1 Maritimo | 08.04.23 Arouca 1-0 Maritimo | 23.10.22 Maritimo 1-1 Arouca | 14.02.22 Arouca 0-3 Maritimo | 13.09.21 Maritimo 2-2 Arouca ## Pre-Match Odds | Arouca Win | Draw | Maritimo Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.20 | 3.20 | 3.50 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*