Ararat-Armenia 0–4 AZ Alkmaar — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Ararat-Armenia faced AZ Alkmaar in Europa League on 22 October 2026. The match ended **0–4**, with AZ Alkmaar taking the victory over Ararat-Armenia. We placed **7 tips** on this match — **5 won** and **2 lost** (71% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **AZ Alkmaar to Win** @ 1.38 (confidence: 69%) — **WON** This prediction was correct. ❌ **Under 3.5 Goals** @ 1.65 (confidence: 65%) — **LOST** 4 goals — the 3.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.34 (confidence: 65%) — **WON** 4 goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ✅ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.62 (confidence: 65%) — **WON** 2 cards — clear of the 4.5 line. ✅ **Over 9.5 Corners** @ 1.87 (confidence: 54%) — **WON** 11 corners — clear of the 9.5 line. ✅ **Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.36 (confidence: 77%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 2 second-half goals — clear of the 2.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 1-1** @ 9.50 (confidence: 13%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | AZ Alkmaar to Win | 1.38 | 69% | ✅ WON | | Under 3.5 Goals | 1.65 | 65% | ❌ LOST | | Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals | 1.34 | 65% | ✅ WON | | Under 4.5 Cards | 1.62 | 65% | ✅ WON | | Over 9.5 Corners | 1.87 | 54% | ✅ WON | | Under 2.5 Goals (2nd Half) ⭐ | 1.36 | 77% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 1-1 | 9.50 | 13% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 5 of 7 tips won** (71% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.00 | 4 | | Corners | 10.1 | 11 | | Yellow Cards | 3.9 | 2 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 73% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Pre-Match Odds | Ararat-Armenia Win | Draw | AZ Alkmaar Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 7.70 | 5.20 | 1.38 | A predictable result, with the winner heavily favoured at 1.38. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*