Albania 2–1 San Marino — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Albania faced San Marino in Nations League on 6 October 2026. The match ended **2–1**, with Albania taking the victory over San Marino. We placed **5 tips** on this match — **2 won** and **3 lost** (40% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Under 4.5 Goals** @ 1.60 (confidence: 69%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 3 goals — clear of the 4.5 line. ❌ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.62 (confidence: 60%) — **LOST** 5 cards — the 4.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Under 9.5 Corners** @ 1.88 (confidence: 53%) — **LOST** 11 corners — the 9.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Under 2.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.36 (confidence: 77%) — **WON** 1 first-half goal — clear of the 2.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 2-0** @ 6.70 (confidence: 17%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Under 4.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.60 | 69% | ✅ WON | | Under 4.5 Cards | 1.62 | 60% | ❌ LOST | | Under 9.5 Corners | 1.88 | 53% | ❌ LOST | | Under 2.5 Goals (1st Half) | 1.36 | 77% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 2-0 | 6.70 | 17% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 2 of 5 tips won** (40% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.68 | 3 | | Corners | 9.5 | — | | Yellow Cards | 4.2 | — | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 80% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 29.09.26 San Marino 0-3 Albania | 08.09.21 Albania 5-0 San Marino | 31.03.21 San Marino 0-2 Albania | 08.06.14 San Marino 0-3 Albania | 16.08.06 San Marino 0-3 Albania ## Pre-Match Odds | Albania Win | Draw | San Marino Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 1.03 | 22.00 | 65.00 | A predictable result, with the winner heavily favoured at 1.03. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*