Alanyaspor 1–2 Kocaelispor — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Alanyaspor faced Kocaelispor in Süper Lig on 23 October 2026. The match ended **1–2**, with Kocaelispor taking the victory over Alanyaspor. We placed **7 tips** on this match — **2 won** and **5 lost** (29% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (X2)** @ 1.87 (confidence: 59%) — **WON** The 1–2 result covered this double chance selection. ❌ **Under 2.5 Goals** @ 1.67 (confidence: 64%) — **LOST** 3 goals — the 2.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals (No)** @ 1.43 (confidence: 71%) — **LOST** 3 goals — the 2.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 2.00 (confidence: 56%) — **LOST** 7 cards — the 4.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Over 6.5 Corners** @ 1.33 (confidence: 72%) — **WON** 14 corners — clear of the 6.5 line. ❌ **Under 1.5 Goals (1st Half)** @ 1.33 (confidence: 78%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip 2 first-half goals — the 1.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Correct Score: 0-0** @ 7.80 (confidence: 20%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (X2) | 1.87 | 59% | ✅ WON | | Under 2.5 Goals | 1.67 | 64% | ❌ LOST | | Both Teams to Score & Over 2.5 Goals (No) | 1.43 | 71% | ❌ LOST | | Under 4.5 Cards | 2.00 | 56% | ❌ LOST | | Over 6.5 Corners | 1.33 | 72% | ✅ WON | | Under 1.5 Goals (1st Half) ⭐ | 1.33 | 78% | ❌ LOST | | Correct Score: 0-0 | 7.80 | 20% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 2 of 7 tips won** (29% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 2.13 | 3 | | Corners | 8.6 | 14 | | Yellow Cards | 4.4 | 7 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 61% | Yes (2) | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 18.03.26 Alanyaspor 5-0 Kocaelispor | 25.10.25 Kocaelispor 2-0 Alanyaspor | 05.12.23 Alanyaspor 1-0 Kocaelispor ## Pre-Match Odds | Alanyaspor Win | Draw | Kocaelispor Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.40 | 3.25 | 4.05 | An upset result — the market had the winner as the underdog at 4.05. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*