Ajax 1–3 PSV — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Ajax faced PSV in Eredivisie on 5 September 2026. The match ended **1–3**, with PSV taking the victory over Ajax. We placed **4 tips** on this match — **2 won** and **2 lost** (50% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (X2)** @ 1.52 (confidence: 64%) — **WON** The 1–3 result covered this double chance selection. ✅ **Over 3.5 Goals** @ 1.85 (confidence: 67%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip 4 total goals cleared the 3.5 line. ❌ **Over 8.5 Corners** @ 1.40 (confidence: 67%) — **LOST** The corner market didn't hit. ❌ **Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.52 (confidence: 74%) — **LOST** The second half fell short of the 1.5 goal line. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (X2) | 1.52 | 64% | ✅ WON | | Over 3.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.85 | 67% | ✅ WON | | Over 8.5 Corners | 1.40 | 67% | ❌ LOST | | Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.52 | 74% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 2 of 4 tips won** (50% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 4.57 | 4 | | Corners | 10.3 | — | | Yellow Cards | 3.5 | — | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 87% | — | The actual goals were close to our expected model, confirming our statistical analysis was well-calibrated. ## Head-to-Head History 02.05.26 Ajax 2-2 PSV | 21.09.25 PSV 2-2 Ajax | 30.03.25 PSV 0-2 Ajax | 02.11.24 Ajax 3-2 PSV | 03.02.24 Ajax 1-1 PSV ## Pre-Match Odds | Ajax Win | Draw | PSV Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.62 | 3.95 | 2.42 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*