Ajax 2–0 Atalanta — Match Recap & Tip Analysis

Ajax faced Atalanta in Conference League on 22 October 2026. The match ended **2–0**, with Ajax taking the victory over Atalanta. We placed **7 tips** on this match — **3 won** and **4 lost** (43% hit rate). ## Tip Results ✅ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 1.39 (confidence: 70%) — **WON** ⭐ Main Tip The 2–0 result covered this double chance selection. ❌ **Over 3.5 Goals** @ 2.07 (confidence: 59%) — **LOST** 2 goals — the 3.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.25 (confidence: 81%) — **LOST** 2 goals — the 2.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Under 4.5 Cards** @ 1.45 (confidence: 69%) — **WON** 4 cards — clear of the 4.5 line. ❌ **Under 9.5 Corners** @ 1.69 (confidence: 57%) — **LOST** 17 corners — the 9.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half)** @ 1.65 (confidence: 67%) — **WON** 2 second-half goals — clear of the 1.5 line. ❌ **Correct Score: 3-1** @ 13.00 (confidence: 7%) — **LOST** This prediction missed. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) ⭐ | 1.39 | 70% | ✅ WON | | Over 3.5 Goals | 2.07 | 59% | ❌ LOST | | Both Teams to Score or Over 2.5 Goals | 1.25 | 81% | ❌ LOST | | Under 4.5 Cards | 1.45 | 69% | ✅ WON | | Under 9.5 Corners | 1.69 | 57% | ❌ LOST | | Over 1.5 Goals (2nd Half) | 1.65 | 67% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 3-1 | 13.00 | 7% | ❌ LOST | **Overall: 3 of 7 tips won** (43% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 4.11 | 2 | | Corners | 9.2 | 17 | | Yellow Cards | 3.6 | 4 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 84% | — | Fewer goals than our model predicted. The defences outperformed expectations. ## Head-to-Head History 09.12.20 Ajax 0-1 Atalanta | 27.10.20 Atalanta 2-2 Ajax ## Pre-Match Odds | Ajax Win | Draw | Atalanta Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.12 | 3.90 | 3.15 | --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*