AC Milan 0–2 Benfica — Match Recap & Tip AnalysisAC Milan faced Benfica in Europa League on 16 September 2026. The match ended **0–2**, with Benfica taking the victory over AC Milan. We placed **5 tips** on this match — **2 won** and **3 lost** (40% hit rate). ## Tip Results ❌ **Double Chance (1X)** @ 1.38 (confidence: 69%) — **LOST** The result fell outside the double chance coverage. ❌ **Over 2.5 Goals** @ 1.71 (confidence: 64%) — **LOST** ⭐ Main Tip 2 goals — the 2.5 line went the other way. ❌ **Under 3.5 Cards** @ 2.22 (confidence: 52%) — **LOST** 6 cards — the 3.5 line went the other way. ✅ **Under 11.5 Corners** @ 1.34 (confidence: 77%) — **WON** 11 corners — clear of the 11.5 line. ✅ **Correct Score: 0-2** @ 17.00 (confidence: 9%) — **WON** This prediction was correct. ## Summary | Tip | Odds | Confidence | Result | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Double Chance (1X) | 1.38 | 69% | ❌ LOST | | Over 2.5 Goals ⭐ | 1.71 | 64% | ❌ LOST | | Under 3.5 Cards | 2.22 | 52% | ❌ LOST | | Under 11.5 Corners | 1.34 | 77% | ✅ WON | | Correct Score: 0-2 | 17.00 | 9% | ✅ WON | **Overall: 2 of 5 tips won** (40% hit rate). ## Statistical Analysis | Stat | Expected | Actual | | --- | --- | --- | | Goals | 3.30 | 2 | | Corners | 9.1 | 11 | | Yellow Cards | 3.7 | 6 | | 1st Half Goal Chance | 77% | — | Fewer goals than our model predicted. The defences outperformed expectations. ## Head-to-Head History 28.07.19 AC Milan 0-1 Benfica | 08.08.09Pen Benfica 1-1 AC Milan | 28.11.07 Benfica 1-1 AC Milan | 18.09.07 AC Milan 2-1 Benfica | 15.03.95 Benfica 0-0 AC Milan ## Pre-Match Odds | AC Milan Win | Draw | Benfica Win | | --- | --- | --- | | 2.27 | 3.55 | 3.10 | An upset result — the market had the winner as the underdog at 3.10. --- *This match recap was automatically generated by EagleTips from real match data, market odds and our own statistical model.*